-- 週一盤後交易中,歐洲天然氣期貨價格飆升近7%,伊朗地區衝突再度升級擾亂了整個能源市場的情緒。阿聯酋一個重要的石油港口遭到攻擊,多艘船隻遇襲,再次引發了人們對天然氣供應的擔憂。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲6.935%,至每兆瓦時48.94歐元(57.20美元)。由於五月初的銀行假日,英國NBP合約休市。 伊朗警告稱,未經其批准,美國軍艦和商船若試圖通過霍爾木茲海峽,伊朗將對其發動攻擊,此舉加劇了地緣政治風險。此前,波斯灣地區的軍事活動增加。 美國總統川普週末表示,華盛頓將根據一項新的保護安排,為船隻安全通過霍爾木茲海峽提供便利,但他並未提供太多操作細節。週一,美國中央司令部表示,兩艘懸掛美國國旗的船隻已安全通過該海峽。 另據報道,阿聯酋稱,在報告一起涉及四枚飛彈和多架無人機的襲擊事件後,該國自4月初以來首次啟動了空襲警報。當局證實,無人機襲擊引發了富查伊拉石油樞紐的火災,該樞紐是繞過霍爾木茲海峽附近伊朗影響的關鍵出口設施。 海灣地區緊張局勢的升級加劇了歐洲天然氣市場的上漲壓力,在基本面本已緊張的情況下,供應風險也隨之上升。 由於4月至9月期間挪威正在進行季節性維護,來自挪威的管道天然氣進口量仍然減少,而歐洲各地的天然氣庫存水準仍低於去年同期水準。歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會的數據顯示,歐盟天然氣庫存佔總容量的33.42%,去年同期為40.29%,市場正進入冬季需求前的補充期。
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Opinion On Shares Of Sirius Xm Holdings Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target price by $5 to $22, applying an EV/revenue multiple of 2.0x to our 2026 estimate, a discount to its three-year historical average multiple of 2.5x. We trim our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.01 to $3.09 and raise 2027's by $0.14 to $3.45. There was mention of a softer auto sales environment, which created headwinds for trial starts and impacted subscriber acquisition, particularly following last year's tariff-driven pull forward in vehicle sales. Conversion rates for self-pay subscribers saw slight declines, especially as younger car purchasers entered the trial funnel, and used car conversion rates remained lower than new car rates. Subscriber trends are expected to be modestly lower Y/Y, with management cautioning about ongoing pressures and declining to change subscriber guidance for the year due to uncertainties in auto sales and companion subscription take rates.
US Treasury Lifts Q2 Borrowing Estimate
The US Treasury said Monday that it expects to borrow $189 billion in Q2, a larger borrowing estimate than the $109 billion it announced in its previous statement.The reason for the increase in the borrowing estimate was lower projected net cash flows that were partially offset by a higher-than-expected cash balance at the start of the quarter. The Treasury still assumes a $900 billion end-of-quarter balance.Borrowing is seen at $671 billion in Q3, with an estimated cash balance of $950 billion at the end of September.The Treasury borrowed $577 billion in Q1, ending March with an $893 billion cash balance at the end of the quarter. The Treasury had previously expected to borrow $574 billion with an end-of-March cash balance of $850 billion.The slightly higher amount of Q1 borrowing was due to a higher-than-assumed end-of-quarter cash balance that were partially offset by higher net cash flows, the Treasury said.