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歐洲、中東和非洲地區天然氣市場動態:因美國釋放緩和伊朗緊張局勢的訊號,荷蘭天然氣期貨下跌

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-- 週二,歐洲天然氣期貨價格漲跌互現。荷蘭TTF天然氣期貨合約在盤後交易中下跌超過2%,此前美國表示不會對週一伊朗的襲擊事件進行報復,緩解了中東地區的緊張局勢。 由於五月初的銀行假日,週一市場休市,荷蘭TTF近月合約下跌2.416%,至每兆瓦時46.98歐元(54.98美元);而英國NBP天然氣期貨上漲2.569%,至每兆瓦時114.98便士(1.56美元)。 荷蘭天然氣價格下跌是由於美國官員淡化了周一霍爾木茲海峽事件和針對阿聯酋的飛彈襲擊後與伊朗再次發生衝突的風險。華盛頓方面表示,這些事件並未違反已持續近一個月的停火協議,有助於穩定市場情緒。 Trading Economics表示,儘管自衝突爆發以來價格已上漲約40%,但隨著亞洲需求減弱,近期價格已回落。 自2月底敵對行動開始以來,波斯灣液化天然氣運輸受到嚴重干擾,影響了全球約五分之一的供應。供應衝擊加劇了歐洲的擔憂,各國正努力在冬季到來之前補充天然氣庫存。 歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會(Gas Infrastructure Europe)的數據顯示,歐盟目前的天然氣庫存佔總容量的33.79%,遠低於去年同期的41.14%。 Mind Energy表示,近期天然氣合約的交易價格高於冬季交割合約,這降低了企業現在向庫存注入天然氣的經濟動力。 因此,目前的庫存水準仍遠低於往年同期平均值。這種情況使市場在未來幾個月面臨更多風險,包括可能推高需求的夏季熱浪以及亞洲買家對液化天然氣日益激烈的競爭。

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