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欧洲、中东和非洲天然气市场最新动态:尽管有报道称美伊停火协议延长,但期货价格仍上涨

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-- 周四,欧洲天然气期货价格上涨,此前有报道称,美国和伊朗正在考虑将目前的停火协议延长两周,以便有更多时间进行和平谈判。 荷兰TTF近月合约上涨1.96%,至每兆瓦时42.21欧元(49.72美元);英国NBP期货上涨1.91%,至每热量单位105.65便士(1.42美元)。 据彭博社援引一位知情人士的消息报道,原定于下周二结束的停火协议可能会进一步延长,因为双方谈判代表计划举行技术性会谈,内容包括重新开放霍尔木兹海峡以及伊朗的核浓缩问题。 与此同时,美国中央司令部公布了美国海军舰艇执行对伊朗封锁的录音,录音显示,往返伊朗港口的商船将面临“拦截和扣押”的威胁。 然而,根据霍尔木兹海峡监测机构的数据,过去24小时内,通过该海峡的船只数量略有增加,共有19艘。 根据英国联合海事信息中心的数据,这一数字仍远低于每天138艘的典型日均通行量。 因此,澳新银行高级大宗商品策略师丹尼尔·海恩斯指出,尽管人们对达成潜在和平协议的乐观情绪日益高涨,但交易员们仍然意识到,由于海峡实际上仍然处于关闭状态,“供应仍然严重受限”。 他将近期能源价格的回调归因于“投资基金近期积累的大量净多头头寸”的平仓。 据欧洲天然气基础设施协会称,欧洲天然气库存继续净增长,库存量仍低于去年同期的 35.97%,目前库存量占产能的 29.55%。

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