-- 周四盘后交易中,欧洲、中东和非洲(EMEA)原油期货价格变动不大,市场正等待伊朗对美国和平提议的回应。该提议有望缓解中东紧张局势,并恢复霍尔木兹海峡中断的原油运输。 布伦特原油期货下跌0.42%,至每桶100.81美元;穆尔班原油期货下跌1.61%,至每桶96.71美元。 SEB Research大宗商品分析师Ole R. Hvalbye表示:“布伦特原油今早延续跌势,目前交易价格为每桶99美元,低于昨日开盘价每桶108美元,也较隔夜101-102美元的水平进一步下跌。” 据报道,伊朗将在未来两天内通过美伊谈判的调解方巴基斯坦做出回应。此前,德黑兰方面表示正在重新评估华盛顿提出的旨在结束中东冲突的和平提议。然而,伊朗尚未表明是否会接受这些条款。 美国向伊朗递交了一份仅有一页的谅解备忘录,该备忘录将允许逐步重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,并解除华盛顿对伊朗港口的封锁。 与此同时,自冲突爆发以来,霍尔木兹海峡基本上处于封闭状态。目前,这条战略水道面临双重封锁:伊朗阻挠船只通行,而美国海军则封锁进出伊朗港口的船只。 周三,特朗普表示,美国将解除封锁,“前提是伊朗同意做出已达成的协议,但这或许是一个很大的假设”,他还补充说,“如果他们不同意,轰炸就开始了。” 盛宝银行策略师周四在一份报告中指出:“预计伊朗将在未来几天做出回应,随后可能会举行核谈判。关键在于,谈判并不等同于达成协议,而且由于投资者重新评估谈判进展的稳固程度,油价今天早上已经反弹。” 与此同时,美国财政部周四对伊拉克石油部副部长实施制裁,指控他参与了一项帮助伊朗违反国际禁运出售石油的计划,该计划通过将伊朗原油与伊拉克原油混合来实现。 财政部称,石油部副部长阿里·马里杰·巴哈德利授权每天用卡车向一名走私者运送价值数百万美元的伊拉克石油,该走私者将其与伊朗原油混合。 财政部补充说,马里杰涉嫌协助伪造文件,使这种混合产品能够伪装成纯伊拉克石油走私到市场。 在供应方面,由于全球市场越来越依赖美国原油来弥补中东供应中断,美国原油库存持续收紧。美国能源信息署表示,原油库存减少了230万桶,至4.572亿桶。 ING策略师在周四的一份报告中表示,EIA数据显示,上周美国商业原油库存下降了230万桶,低于API报告的810万桶的降幅,也略低于市场预期的240万桶的降幅。
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