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欧洲、中东和非洲地区石油市场动态:原油价格上涨,交易员评估“自由计划”项目

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-- 周一,原油期货价格上涨,交易员对美国“自由计划”(Project Freedom)能否恢复霍尔木兹海峡的正常贸易持怀疑态度。 近月穆尔班原油期货上涨1.7%,至每桶105.49美元;布伦特原油期货上涨2.2%,至每桶110.59美元。 荷兰国际集团(ING)表示:“尽管波斯湾局势持续动荡,但新交易周伊始,市场走势趋于稳定。” 美国宣布启动“自由计划”,旨在引导商船驶离霍尔木兹海峡,这一消息一度令市场情绪震荡。 然而,由于市场对该计划的规模缺乏信心,最初的抛售很快得到逆转。 分析师指出,如果没有美国海军为进港船只提供护航,此举可能只是通过清理现有浮式储油设施来暂时缓解拥堵,而无法恢复正常的贸易流动。 外交渠道缺乏进展以及欧佩克+内部的变动进一步加剧了供应方面的担忧。 尽管该组织宣布6月份增产18.8万桶/日(这是自阿联酋意外退出以来的首次会议),但市场专家怀疑全部增产量能否最终进入市场。 超过一半的增产计划与目前受霍尔木兹海峡封锁限制的波斯湾产油国有关。 据报道,特朗普总统称伊朗最新的和平提议“不可接受”,而德黑兰方面拒绝在解除港口封锁前讨论核问题,这些因素导致原油价格继续存在显著的风险溢价。

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