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欧洲、中东和非洲地区天然气市场最新动态:霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势持续升级,期货价格上涨约2%。

-- 由于中东紧张局势持续高涨,人们担心经由霍尔木兹海峡的液化天然气(LNG)运输将长期中断,欧洲天然气期货价格周五上涨。 荷兰TTF近月合约上涨1.98%,至每兆瓦时45.37欧元(53.03美元);英国NBP期货上涨2.29%,至每热量单位113.43便士(1.52美元)。 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周四在Truth Social网站上发帖称,他已下令美国海军“击沉任何在霍尔木兹海峡布雷的船只”。 周五,伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽什基亚的副手伊斯梅尔·萨卡布·伊斯法哈尼警告称,任何针对伊朗能源基础设施的袭击都将遭到对沙特阿拉伯的报复性打击。 据《印度时报》报道,他表示:“我们的目标很明确;如果我们的任何油井遭到袭击,我们将打击沙特阿拉伯的某个石油区块,并采取相应措施。” 与此同时,霍尔木兹海峡的交通实际上已经停滞,据霍尔木兹海峡监测机构称,过去24小时内只有五艘船只通过。 蓝水战略公司高级财务主管米歇尔·恩格拉尔警告说,“廉价、充足、政治中立的天然气时代已经结束”,他列举了卡塔尔拉斯拉凡液化天然气设施受损、海峡交通长期中断以及欧洲对美国液化天然气供应的严重依赖等因素。 所有这一切都发生在欧洲进入天然气回注季之际,而库存却大幅下降,根据欧洲天然气基础设施协会的数据,目前仅为产能的30.82%,而去年同期为37.54%。

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