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欧洲、中东和非洲地区天然气市场最新动态:受美伊谈判可能重启影响,期货价格跌至六周低点

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-- 周三盘后交易中,欧洲天然气期货价格延续跌势,原因是市场对美伊可能重启第二轮谈判的乐观情绪升温,认为此举有望缓解地缘政治紧张局势并改善供应前景。 荷兰TTF近月合约下跌4.83%,至每兆瓦时41.27欧元(48.71美元);英国NBP期货下跌4.68%,至每热量单位103.66便士(1.41美元)。 Trading Economics周三表示,由于华盛顿和德黑兰之间外交努力重启的迹象提振了市场情绪,天然气价格跌破每兆瓦时42欧元,触及六周多以来的最低水平,并延续了前一交易日的跌势。 美国总统特朗普周二表示,与伊朗的谈判可能在几天内重启,此番言论导致天然气价格走弱。尽管媒体报道称,伊朗威胁要停止区域贸易以回应美国对霍尔木兹海峡的海上封锁,但周三天然气价格依然承压。据报道,巴基斯坦调解人也在努力重启谈判,以期在下周停火协议到期前维持停火。 欧洲气温将升高,预计未来几周取暖需求将受到抑制,这也给天然气价格带来了额外的下行压力。欧洲天然气基础设施协会(Gas Infrastructure Europe)报告称,需求下降和价格走低预计将使欧盟天然气库存更容易补充,目前欧盟天然气库存仅略低于产能的30%,比一年前低约5个百分点。 相比之下,由于持续的供应中断,北亚天然气价格上涨并接近每百万英热单位20美元。澳新银行分析师丹尼尔·海恩斯(Daniel Hynes)周三表示,美国对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁可能会延长供应中断,目前全球约五分之一的液化天然气供应已从市场上消失。 海恩斯补充说,这些干扰已将亚洲液化天然气进口量推至 2020 年以来的最低水平。印度石油公司和印度天然气有限公司没有授予 4 月和 5 月的现货货物招标,而中国的天然气进口量在 3 月份有所下降。

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