-- 周三,欧洲天然气期货价格下跌,市场对未来几天可能举行的第二轮美伊会谈的乐观情绪持续升温,双方希望通过外交途径解决持续的军事冲突。 荷兰TTF近月合约下跌1.69%,至每兆瓦时42.63欧元(50.24美元);英国NBP期货下跌1.84%,至每热量单位106.75便士(1.43美元)。 美国总统特朗普周二在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示,他认为这场战争“即将结束”,并补充说,德黑兰“非常渴望”达成协议。 当天早些时候,特朗普告诉《纽约邮报》,第二轮美伊和平谈判“可能在未来两天内”在巴基斯坦首都举行。 与此同时,美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将表示,对伊朗的海上封锁现已全面生效,美军已“完全切断了伊朗的海上贸易”,他指出,海上贸易占伊朗国际贸易的90%。 据霍尔木兹海峡监测机构称,霍尔木兹海峡的交通流量大幅增加,过去24小时内有17艘船只通过该海峡。 澳新银行高级大宗商品策略师丹尼尔·海恩斯表示,在中东局势动荡期间,亚洲液化天然气买家曾一度成为欧洲的主要竞争对手,但如今他们的进口量已降至2020年以来的最低水平。 海恩斯指出,印度天然气公司和印度石油公司尚未就4月和5月的现货天然气采购进行任何招标,而中国3月份的天然气进口量也出现了类似的下降。 据欧洲天然气基础设施协会(Gas Infrastructure Europe)的数据显示,这些发展对欧洲市场来说是个好兆头,因为欧洲市场正以显著下降的库存进入天然气补给季,目前库存仅为产能的29.55%,而去年同期为35.62%。 此外,天气预报也转为悲观,据欧盟极端天气预报中心(Severe Weather EU)的数据显示,预计欧洲大部分地区夏季气温将高于往年平均水平。
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