-- 標普全球評級週三發佈公告稱,即將舉行的土地拍賣表明香港房地產市場正在復蘇,這將考驗開發商的財務紀律。 公告指出,先前獲得評級的香港開發商透過減少投資和增強資產負債表,成功度過了房地產市場低迷期。 標普信用分析師鐘燮表示,儘管此次復甦幅度可能較為溫和,但在房地產市場顯著上行週期中,香港可能會出現競價加劇和土地價格虛高的現象。 標普表示,住宅價格在2025年中期觸底後已上漲約10%,而成交量已反彈至2025年20,540套。 標普預計,2026年成交量將持續成長,但在需求趨於飽和的情況下,2027年將回落至18,000套。 評等機構預測,今年剩餘時間內價格將上漲3%至5%,2026年總漲幅將達8%至10%。 該評級機構表示,2027年價格漲幅可能在0%至3%之間。 標普表示,如果投資者資金流入增加,價格上漲預期可能會進一步調高。
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