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FINWIRES

標普稱,日本央行將維持貨幣政策正常化以應對根深蒂固的通膨。

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-- 惠譽評級在近期發布的報告中指出,鑑於日本通膨持續高企,日本央行將進一步推動貨幣政策正常化。 惠譽表示,日本已擺脫了長達數十年的名目成長疲軟和通縮局面,如今通膨日益受到國內因素的驅動。 惠譽指出,這些國內驅動因素包括單位GDP薪資和利潤的快速成長,以及家庭、投資者和企業對物價上漲的預期。 惠譽也表示,企業資產負債表也更加穩健,使其能夠更好地應對更高的工資成本和更大的債務。 名目GDP的良好成長也有助於穩定資產價格再通膨和政府債券殖利率,使其與更正常的通膨和利率環境相符。 惠譽表示,自2022年以來,日本平均整體消費者物價通膨率一直維持在2.9%,高於日本央行2%的目標。 評等機構表示,近期整體通膨率的下降主要受政府能源政策的影響,而非潛在價格約束的放緩。 該評級機構預計央行將繼續升息,政策利率今年將調高75個基點至1.5%。

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