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標普稱,中東戰爭對亞太金融機構構成最大信用風險

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-- 標普全球評級週四發佈公告稱,中東戰爭的溢出效應是亞太金融機構面臨的最大信用風險。 標普亞太金融機構產業主管加文·岡寧表示,該地區的銀行並未直接受到中東的影響,間接風險敞口也在可控範圍內。 岡寧也表示,如果霍爾木茲海峽在5月底前達成開放協議,那麼在目前的評級水準下,貸款機構擁有充足的緩衝能力來應對相關的限制。 然而,標普指出,如果衝突持續下去,銀行的信貸損失可能會增加25%。 該評級機構表示,在這種情況下,越南、印尼和印度的信貸損失佔貸款總額的比例將大幅上升。 中國預計將占到信貸損失總額的最大份額,約1,300億美元。 標普表示,鑑於其他國家的緩衝能力,它們目前的銀行體系在評級水準下將更加穩健。 評級機構表示,非銀行基金融資仍將是人們關注的焦點,儘管關注度會降低,尤其是在軟體產業存在不確定性的情況下,美國基金的關注度也會下降。 標普指出,人工智慧也是一個主要擔憂,因為它對未來幾年該地區金融機構的評級會產生不同的影響。

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