-- 標普全球將BRP(DOO.TO)的評等從BB上調至BB+,理由是其業務風險狀況改善,並展望穩定。 標普表示,此次評級調整取消了BRP的負面評級調整,原因是貝恩資本持有BRP的股份比例下降——截至去年12月,貝恩資本持有BRP的股份為11%,擁有約20%的投票權。 標普指出,BRP在雪地摩托車和個人水上摩托車領域擁有50%-55%的市場份額,並在越野車(ORV)領域穩居第二。此外,BRP也調整了其2026財年末的庫存規模,北美地區的庫存水準較上年同期下降了17%。 2026財年第四季業績強勁,在大多數產品類別(包括越野車(ATV和SSV)以及雪地摩托車)中均優於動力運動行業平均水平。 標普表示:「我們認為BRP已做好充分準備補充庫存,並預測其2027財年營收將增長6%-7%。我們還預計,由於出貨量較上年有所增長,BRP 2027財年的營收將增加4億至5億加元。全年暢銷產品的持續強勁表現以及零部件和配件提升的穩定需求,將進一步暢銷產品的持續強勁表現以及零部件和配件提升的穩定需求,將進一步暢銷產品 標普預計,BRP 2027財年的EBITDA利潤率將提升至約13.8%,主要得益於產品組合優化(高利潤率的ORV產品成長)以及固定成本吸收率的提高(資產利用率從65%提升至70%)。 標普預計BRP將「審慎」管理資本,並預測未來12-24個月的年度資本支出約為4億至4.5億加元。預計該公司每年的自由經營現金流(FOCF)為4億至5億加元。 標普表示:“穩定的展望反映了我們的觀點,即隨著收入和EBITDA從2026財年的低谷中回升,BRP在2027財年將保持淨債務與EBITDA之比約為2倍。”
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