-- 台湾制造业在4月份走强,标普全球台湾制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)升至55.3,创下2021年12月以来的最高水平。 PMI较3月份的53.3有所上升,标志着连续第五个月扩张,商业环境显著改善。 此次增长主要得益于产出增加和新业务拓展。企业表示,需求上升以及为应对中东冲突可能带来的供应中断和价格上涨而提前建立库存是推动增长的主要因素。 标普全球市场情报经济副总监安娜贝尔·菲德斯表示:“这场战争造成了自新冠疫情以来最严重的供应链中断,并导致第二季度初投入成本大幅上涨。” 台湾制造商报告称,新订单大幅增长,其中包括来自美国、欧洲、中国大陆、日本和东南亚的出口需求,而囤货活动也支撑了增长。 尽管供应商交货时间延长速度达到四年多来最快,反映出供应链压力加剧,但采购活动仍以近四年半以来最快的速度增长。 受原材料和能源成本上涨的推动,投入价格以自2004年该调查开始以来最快的速度上涨;同时,由于企业将成本压力转嫁给客户,产出价格也以2021年底以来最快的速度上涨。 菲德斯补充道:“在供应商普遍提价的报道中,支出以自22年前该调查开始以来最快的速度增长,其中油价上涨是通胀的主要驱动因素。这些更高的成本通常转嫁给客户,销售价格也大幅上涨。” 由于企业选择不填补员工自愿离职后的空缺,就业人数略有下降,而积压工作量则以2021年底以来最快的速度增长。 标普全球的数据显示,企业信心依然保持积极,但已降至三个月来的最低点,企业方面表示,中东冲突带来的不确定性是造成信心下降的原因。 制造业的强劲表现与整体经济增长势头相符。据行政院主计处统计,受人工智能相关强劲外部需求的推动,台湾第一季度国内生产总值同比增长13.7%。
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