-- 周五早盘，油价下跌，此前有报道称，巴基斯坦官员预计美国和伊朗将举行新一轮会谈。 5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格下跌1.07美元，至每桶94.78美元；5月交割的布伦特原油期货价格下跌0.42美元，至每桶104.65美元。 彭博新闻社报道称，伊朗外长阿巴斯·阿拉格奇及其谈判团队预计将于周五晚些时候抵达伊斯兰堡，与已抵达的美国代表团举行会谈。该报道令油价从隔夜高位回落，市场预期双方将达成协议，重新开放被封锁的霍尔木兹海峡。 霍尔木兹海峡是波斯湾国家石油出口的咽喉要道。在2月28日战争爆发前，这些国家供应了全球20%的石油日需求。战争还导致柴油、航空煤油以及石化原料和化肥的运输受阻。 盛宝银行大宗商品策略主管奥勒·汉森写道：“最初与霍尔木兹海峡实际关闭相关的原油供应冲击，如今已演变为多商品供应中断。其影响不再局限于能源市场，而是蔓延至工业生产、运输，并最终波及农业和食品价格。” 然而，战争的迅速结束不太可能迅速缓解这场史上规模最大的能源供应冲击。据《华盛顿邮报》周四报道，美国五角大楼警告称，清除海峡中的水雷可能需要六个月的时间。 SEB Research的大宗商品分析师奥勒·赫瓦尔比写道：“这与金融市场预期的时间完全不同。即使明天达成政治协议，也无法立即重新开放海峡。”
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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation
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$OTIS
Asia Markets
Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled
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$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.
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