-- 周三，西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）收高，连续第四个交易日上涨。此前，市场对伊朗战争结束和霍尔木兹海峡重新开放的希望逐渐消退，与此同时，一份报告显示美国原油库存降幅超出预期。 6月交割的WTI原油期货价格上涨6.95美元，收于每桶106.88美元，创4月7日以来新高；6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格上涨6.74美元，收于每桶118.00美元。 自2月28日战争爆发以来，WTI原油价格已累计上涨59%。2月28日，伊朗在遭到美国和以色列的袭击后封锁了霍尔木兹海峡，该海峡是全球约20%石油供应的关键咽喉要道。目前，美国正在封锁伊朗港口，伊朗要求美国在恢复和平谈判前解除封锁，但美国拒绝这样做，导致伊朗石油供应持续受到有史以来最大的冲击。 盛宝银行写道：“霍尔木兹海峡近乎关闭，加剧了全球能源市场的紧张局势……交易员们目前关注和平谈判的下一步进展以及今日发布的美国库存报告，以进一步了解在强劲的出口需求下，美国库存下降的速度。” 美国能源信息署在其每周调查中报告称，上周美国商业原油库存下降了620万桶，而路透社调查的分析师普遍预期库存将下降220万桶。 石油市场还关注阿联酋周二宣布退出欧佩克的决定。阿联酋是欧佩克第三大产油国，也是全球第七大石油出口国。鉴于供应冲击，这一决定短期内不太可能产生影响，但一旦冲突结束，可能会为市场增加供应。 “鉴于霍尔木兹海峡关闭导致全球石油供应短缺，阿联酋的退出其实无关紧要，因为其产量已达极限。由于海峡关闭，阿联酋通过管道向阿曼湾出口石油的能力已达极限（150万至180万桶/日），这也是阿联酋3月份总产量降至237万桶/日（2月份为364万桶/日）的原因。从长远来看，一旦冲突得到解决，阿联酋的退出可能会产生更大的影响，因为届时阿联酋可以额外向全球石油市场供应100万桶/日。此外，欧佩克/欧佩克+也失去了一个至关重要的成员，”BMO资本市场高级经济学家Art Woo写道。
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Bausch Health Q1 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue, Advance, Beating Estimates
Bausch Health (BHC.TO) up 3.6% in after-hours New York trade, after the company on Wednesday said its first-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue both rose, beating estimates.Adjusted net income, which excludes most one-time items, rose to US$296 million, or US$0.78 per share, from US$220 million, or US$0.59, in the prior-year period. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected US$0.67 per share.Consolidated revenue jumped 12% to US$2.52 billion, beating the US$2.4 billion FactSet forecast.Bausch Health maintained its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of US$5.25 billion to US$5.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA of US$2.875 billion to US$2.95 billion, both excluding Bausch + Lomb."Our first quarter performance marks twelve consecutive periods of year-over-year growth in revenue, adjusted EBITDA for Bausch Health excluding Bausch + Lomb, reflecting strategic execution and disciplined accountability across our organization. We continue to invest in our pipeline, including the advancement of larsucosterol to treat alcohol-associated hepatitis, while pursuing business development opportunities aligned with our strategic priorities. With this momentum, we reaffirm our full-year 2026 outlook and remain focused on driving sustainable performance and shareholder value," said chief executive Thomas Appio.Bausch Health shares were last seen up US$0.20, to US$5.79 in after-hours trade. They closed down $0.11 to $7.66 on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Raises Opinion On Shares Of Penske Automotive Group To Hold From Sell
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our 12-month target by $25 to $170, based on a 2027 P/E of 11.8x, a premium to the stock's 10-year forward P/E of 9.8x. We lower our EPS estimates to $13.40 from $13.85 for 2026 and to $14.35 from $15.00 for 2027. However, we are raising our price target and our rating to Hold from Sell. This morning, PAG posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $3.05 vs. $3.59 (-15%), ahead of the $2.88 consensus. The beat was driven by a stronger-than-expected top line, as revenue fell 1.1% to $7.86B ($150M ahead of consensus) and gross margin contracted 10 bps to 16.5% (10 bps short of consensus). While we continue to view the stock's valuation as full and prefer other names in the auto dealership space, currency has provided a significant earnings tailwind for PAG given its significant international exposure, allowing it to exceed Street expectations. Additionally, the company continues to return cash to shareholders in the form of buybacks and dividends, helping support EPS amid demand-related headwinds.
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Mining & Metals
Earnings Flash (CS.TO) Capstone 2026 Production Guidance of 200,000-230,000 Tonnes Copper and C1 Cash Costs Guidance of US$2.45-$2.75 Per Payable Pound Unchanged
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