-- 道明经济(TD Economics)周二表示:“显然,市场在诸多不利因素的影响下持续低迷,包括就业市场疲软、经济前景不明朗、人口增长放缓以及住房负担能力紧张。”此前,加拿大3月份房屋销售表现疲软,此前已连续四个月下滑。 道明补充道:“鉴于这些挑战,2026年加拿大房地产市场预计将继续保持低迷。供需失衡将持续对卑诗省和安大略省的房价构成下行压力。其他地区的房价增长应该会更加强劲,但随着时间的推移,增速可能会放缓。” 道明指出,加拿大3月份成屋销售“基本持平”,环比下降0.1%。卑诗省、魁北克省和曼尼托巴省的销售量保持不变,阿尔伯塔省的销售量下降(环比下降5%),而安大略省的销售量则有所增长(环比增长1.9%)。其他地区方面,萨斯喀彻温省的房屋销售额“稳步”增长(环比增长10%),而大西洋沿岸大部分地区的销售额则有所下降。 当月新增房源数量也保持平稳。由于新增房源和销售量均几乎没有变化,3月份的销售与新增房源比率维持在47.8%。该银行指出:“这远低于长期平均水平,预示着未来房价将温和上涨。” 3月份平均房价也保持平稳,而MLS房价指数(一种更具“同类比较”的指标)环比下降0.4%,同比下降4.7%。独立屋价格环比下降0.3%,公寓价格环比下降0.9%。
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