-- 道明經濟(TD Economics)週二表示:「顯然,市場在諸多不利因素的影響下持續低迷,包括就業市場疲軟、經濟前景不明朗、人口增長放緩以及住房負擔能力緊張。」此前,加拿大3月份房屋銷售表現疲軟,此前已連續四個月下滑。 道明補充道:“鑑於這些挑戰,2026年加拿大房地產市場預計將繼續保持低迷。供需失衡將持續對卑詩省和安大略省的房價構成下行壓力。其他地區的房價增長應該會更加強勁,但隨著時間的推移,增速可能會放緩。” 道明指出,加拿大3月成屋銷售“基本持平”,季減0.1%。卑詩省、魁北克省和曼尼托巴省的銷售量保持不變,阿爾伯塔省的銷售量下降(環比下降5%),而安大略省的銷售量則有所增長(環比增長1.9%)。其他地區方面,薩斯喀徹溫省的房屋銷售額「穩定」成長(季增10%),而大西洋沿岸大部分地區的銷售額則有所下降。 當月新增房源數量也保持穩定。由於新增房源和銷售量都幾乎沒有變化,3月的銷售與新增房源比率維持在47.8%。該銀行指出:“這遠低於長期平均水平,預示著未來房價將溫和上漲。” 3月平均房價也維持平穩,而MLS房價指數(一個更具「同類比較」的指標)則較去年同期下降0.4%,較去年同期下降4.7%。獨立屋價格較上月下降0.3%,公寓價格較上季下降0.9%。
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