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最新消息:由于伊朗战争和平协议前景黯淡,WTI原油价格收高。

-- 周四,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)收盘走高,美国和伊朗在结束这场战争方面进展甚微。这场战争造成了有史以来最大的供应冲击,波斯湾地区的石油运输被封锁在霍尔木兹海峡。 6月交割的WTI原油期货价格上涨2.89美元,收于每桶95.85美元;6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格上涨3.07美元,收于每桶104.98美元。 美国和伊朗的谈判仍处于僵局。伊朗拒绝谈判,只要美国海军继续封锁其港口,伊朗就拒绝谈判;而美国则拒绝解除封锁。伊朗正在霍尔木兹海峡袭击船只,该海峡是波斯湾国家供应全球20%石油需求的咽喉要道。与此同时,有报道称,美军正在印度洋登船检查伊朗船只。 “伊朗领导层将解除美国封锁作为恢复谈判的先决条件,一位高级官员甚至称此举为军事侵略行为。特朗普总统则表示,停火协议目前将继续维持,使冲突陷入一种没有空袭、船只活动极少、难以维系的平衡状态,”全球大宗商品策略和中东及北非研究主管赫利玛·克罗夫特写道。 自2月28日战争爆发以来,WTI原油价格已上涨43%,但由于市场对冲突即将结束的预期,油价已回落至4月7日触及的四年高点112.95美元以下。然而,如果交易员预期双方目前的僵局会持续下去,油价可能会再次测试这一四年高点。 “特朗普在四月份的大部分时间里都在吹嘘与伊朗达成协议指日可待。但现在看来,达成协议的可能性越来越小。过去一周,美国多边交易市场对霍尔木兹海峡何时重新开放的押注大幅下降。押注5月13日之前重新开放的押注自上周五以来下降了27%,目前仅为39%。市场对霍尔木兹海峡重新开放时间的预期正在迅速推迟。这意味着油价将会上涨,”SEB Research首席大宗商品分析师比雅恩·希尔德罗普(Bjarne Schieldrop)写道。

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