-- (更新價格。) 週四午後,由於市場樂觀預期結束伊朗戰爭的協議可能即將達成,金價連續第三個交易日上漲,導致油價下跌,美元走低。此前,市場對戰爭引發的供應衝擊將推高通膨並迫使利率上升的擔憂有所緩解。 6月交割的黃金期貨價格上漲20.60美元,至每盎司4,714.00美元,此前週三已上漲125.80美元。 此次上漲源自於市場對美國和伊朗達成和平協議的樂觀預期。 《華爾街日報》報道稱,兩國正與調解人合作,制定重啟談判的框架。雙方最快下週在巴基斯坦就川普政府提出的14點諒解備忘錄展開會談。 在伊朗封鎖霍爾木茲海峽引發的經濟動盪期間,交易員們對黃金作為避險資產持謹慎態度。這次封鎖切斷了波斯灣國家的石油出口,而這些國家供應了全球20%的石油需求。 2月28日戰爭爆發後,油價高企,推高了通膨,加劇了人們對各國央行將提高利率以抑制需求的擔憂。不過,有關可能結束敵對行動的談判前景緩解了這種擔憂。 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)黃金和天然氣策略師克里斯托弗·盧尼(Christopher Louney)寫道:“昨天黃金對停火樂觀情緒的反應,強化了我們對黃金基本面依然穩固的看法,並增強了我們長期以來對今年黃金價格將在每盎司4500-5000美元區間波動的信心。” 美元小幅走高,ICE美元指數上漲0.0點至98.11。美國公債殖利率上升,兩年期公債殖利率最新上漲 4.9 個基點至 3.919%,十年期公債殖利率上漲 4.2 個基點至 4.393%。
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