-- (第五至第七段包含BMO的評論) 加拿大聯邦政府週二發布的春季經濟報告中指出,預計2025-26財年的財政赤字將降至669億加元,低於先前預測的783億加元,反映出經濟成長有所改善。 政府表示,到2029-30財年,赤字將逐步下降至562億加幣。 政府也表示,新增的603億加幣收入使得政府能夠增加375億加幣的支出。 執政的自由黨表示,預計2026年GDP成長率為1.1%,未來三年每年為1.9%,2030年為1.8%。 BMO在隔夜報告中指出,聯邦政府「或許調整了預算週期,但其本質依然如故:支出增加抵消了收入成長,導致持續的赤字」。 BMO指出,聯邦政府預計2026-2027財年將出現650億加幣的財政缺口,相當於GDP的近2%。該行表示:“這僅比去年670億加元的預估略好一些,而且由於赤字在2030-2031財年仍將居高不下,預計情況不會有太大改善。” BMO的結論是:“加拿大經濟的表現好於秋季預算案公佈時的預期。然而,由此帶來的收入增長已被更高的支出承諾所抵消,而且目前看不到實現收支平衡的希望。”
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