-- (第五至第七段包含BMO的评论) 加拿大联邦政府周二发布的春季经济报告中指出,预计2025-26财年的财政赤字将降至669亿加元,低于此前预测的783亿加元,这反映出经济增长有所改善。 政府表示,到2029-30财年,赤字将逐步下降至562亿加元。 政府还表示,新增的603亿加元收入使得政府能够增加375亿加元的支出。 执政的自由党表示,预计2026年GDP增长率为1.1%,未来三年每年为1.9%,2030年为1.8%。 BMO在隔夜报告中指出,联邦政府“或许调整了预算周期,但其本质依然如故:支出增加抵消了收入增长,导致持续的赤字”。 BMO指出,联邦政府预计2026-2027财年将出现650亿加元的财政缺口,相当于GDP的近2%。该行表示:“这仅比去年670亿加元的预估略好一些,而且由于赤字在2030-2031财年仍将居高不下,预计情况不会有太大改善。” BMO的结论是:“加拿大经济的表现好于秋季预算案公布时的预期。然而,由此带来的收入增长已被更高的支出承诺所抵消,而且目前看不到实现收支平衡的希望。”
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