-- 周五,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格收跌,此前伊朗提出新的和平方案,但美国总统特朗普拒绝了该方案。 6月交割的WTI原油期货价格下跌3.13美元,收于每桶101.94美元;7月交割的布伦特原油期货价格下跌2.177美元,收于每桶108.23美元。 路透社报道称,伊朗提出了一项与美国达成和平协议的新方案。尽管细节尚未披露,但特朗普拒绝了该方案,并告诉记者他对方案并不满意。不过,他证实,由巴基斯坦斡旋的间接会谈仍在继续,双方通过电话进行磋商。 由于霍尔木兹海峡关闭,石油供应仍然短缺。霍尔木兹海峡是波斯湾国家石油出口的咽喉要道,这些国家的石油出口占每日需求的20%。自2月28日战争爆发以来,原油和成品油供应短缺导致原油价格上涨超过一半,纽约商品交易所(Nymex)汽油期货价格自战争爆发以来上涨了81%,而航空燃油供应也日趋紧张。 供应紧张的局面正值5月23日阵亡将士纪念日长周末到来之际,而这通常是夏季驾车出行旺季的开始,届时燃油需求将达到高峰,这可能会进一步推高油价。 加拿大皇家银行资本市场全球大宗商品策略及中东和北非研究主管赫利玛·克罗夫特(Helima Croft)写道:“随着夏季需求旺季的临近,我们认为油价有望超过2022年甚至2008年的高点,尤其是在市场对霍尔木兹海峡封锁持续时间的看法可能最终发生转变的情况下。”
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