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最新情報:バリック社、北米金資産の新規株式公開(IPO)を推進、役員人事を発表

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-- (第2段落と第3段落にナショナル・バンクのコメントを追加し、最終段落で株価を更新) バリック・マイニング・コーポレーション(NYSE:B、ABX.TO)は、複数の役員人事を発表するとともに、北米の金資産を保有する新会社の少数株の新規株式公開(IPO)計画に関する最新情報を火曜日に提供した。 これに対し、ナショナル・バンクは、バリックの割安な株価評価、フォーマイル鉱山開発の今後の進展、そして北米資産の今後の価値実現に基づき、「アウトパフォーム」のレーティングを維持すると述べた。「フォーマイル鉱山での探査の進展は、同社にとって重要な価値創造要因であり、マリのルロ・グンコト鉱山開発問題の解決が既に発表されていることを踏まえると、さらなるレーティングの見直しを後押しする。南北アメリカ大陸(ネバダ州を中心とする)における金生産拡大への注力強化と継続的な操業改善により、今後、より持続的な株価収益率の拡大が見込まれる」と同行は付け加えた。 ナショナル・バンクは、目標株価72.50カナダドルは、EV/2026年EBITDA倍率(加重平均6.50倍)を100%加重平均で算出したものであり、これはP/NAV倍率1.07倍に相当すると述べた。同行は、バリックの現在の株価はEV/2026年EBITDA倍率4.8倍、NAV倍率0.78倍であり、大手金鉱会社の6.6倍、1.01倍と比較して割安であると指摘した。 バリックは火曜日の声明で、北米バリック専任の経営陣を任命したと発表した。「彼らは数ヶ月にわたり、共に成功裏に業務を遂行してきた。このチームは、操業、探査、開発において深い専門知識を持つ、経験豊富で実績のあるバリックのベテランで構成されている」と付け加えた。 このチームは、バリックの社長兼CEOであるマーク・ヒルに直属し、以下のメンバーで構成されている。ティム・クリブ最高執行責任者、ウェッセル・ハマン最高財務責任者、ジョー・ヘッケンドーン最高法務責任者兼会社秘書役。最高技術責任者のメーガン・ティバルズ氏、最高人事責任者のリチャード・バーリー氏、探査担当副社長のハビエル・オルツザール氏、そしてサステナビリティ担当副社長のアマンダ・スティーンセン氏。 バリック社は、北米有数の鉱業地域に位置する4つのティア1金鉱山資産(ネバダ・ゴールド・マインズ複合施設内のカーリン、コルテス、ターコイズ・リッジ、およびドミニカ共和国のプエブロ・ビエホ鉱山)をポートフォリオに含めると発表しました。北米バリック社の資産は、バリック社の権益分として2025年に約200万オンスの金を生産しました。 北米バリック社には、NGMに隣接するバリック社が100%所有するフォーマイル金プロジェクトも含まれます。同社は、「フォーマイルは今世紀で最も重要な金鉱床の発見の一つであり、北米バリックのポートフォリオにおいて、高品位かつ低コストの重要な成長機会となるものと確信している。フォーマイルは、NGM合弁事業契約に基づき、最終的にはNGM合弁事業に組み込まれる予定である」と述べた。 バリックは、北米資産の新規株式公開(IPO)に最適な構造を特定したと発表した。北米バリックは、慣例的な米国証券取引委員会(SEC)への登録およびカナダにおける目論見書承認手続きを経て、ニューヨーク証券取引所に主要上場し、トロント証券取引所に二次上場する予定である。バリックは、市場状況その他の条件および必要な承認を前提として、2026年末までにIPOを完了する見込みであると付け加えた。 同社は、IPOはバリックの合弁事業契約におけるすべての適用可能な義務を遵守すると見込んでいる。 「バリックの経営陣は、ニューモントの経営陣と会談し、NGMの業績改善、IPO計画、そしてフォーマイル鉱山の売却・買収のスケジュールについて協議しました。バリックはIPOを単独で進めることも可能ですが、合弁事業パートナーと緊密に連携し、すべての関係者にとって価値が創造され、最大化されるよう努めています。」 バリックの株価は昨日、カナダ市場で1.2%下落しました。米国市場でも昨日1%下落し、米国プレマーケットでは直近で2%下落しています。

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US Natural Gas Update: Futures Tick Higher on Shifting Weather Outlooks, Mixed Demand Signals

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Update: UAE's OPEC+ Exit Weakens Cartel's Market Grip, Raises Volatility Risks, Analysts Say

(Updates with analyst comments from Macquarie in grafs 19-22.)The UAE has withdrawn from OPEC and the broader OPEC+ alliance, delivering a significant blow to the group's ability to manage global oil markets and raising questions about the future of coordinated supply policy, Rystad Energy strategists said on Tuesday.The Gulf state, which produces about 4.8 million barrels per day and has ambitions to raise output further, has been among a handful of members capable of adjusting supply to respond to market shocks."OPEC and OPEC+ have only ever been as strong as members' willingness to hold barrels back," Jorge Leon, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy, said in a market note on Tuesday. "Losing a member with significant spare capacity takes a real tool out of the group's hands."The UAE's departure strips the producer group of one of its core mechanisms of influence, spare capacity that can be deployed to offset disruptions or withdrawn to support prices.Leon said the move weakens the group's ability to manage supply imbalances over time.Rystad said the impact on prices may be limited by ongoing geopolitical risks in the near term, including the Strait of Hormuz blockade, which continues to inject uncertainty into global supply flows.However, the longer-term implications are more profound. The consultancy said that with less spare capacity concentrated within the group, OPEC+ may find it difficult to calibrate output and maintain price stability.The shift comes as global oil demand approaches a potential peak, altering the incentives for low-cost producers. Rather than holding back production under quota systems, countries with available capacity may prioritize maximizing output and protecting market share.The move could place greater pressure on Saudi Arabia to shoulder a larger share of production adjustments to stabilize markets, a role Rystad analysts said may become difficult to sustain on its own.Saxo Bank strategists said the UAE's departure from OPEC and OPEC+ marks a shift in global oil policy at a time when the ongoing Iran conflict has disrupted global energy flows and drained both commercial and strategic crude inventories worldwide."The UAE is seizing the opportunity to exit OPEC and remove production constraints that have limited its ability to utilize growing capacity," said Ole Sloth Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.The UAE has steadily expanded its production capacity in recent years, driven by upstream investments led by Abu Dhabi's Adnoc Group. Saxo Bank said that before output fell last month to 2.2 million b/d, production had climbed to about 3.6 mmb/d.The country's current crude production capacity stands at about 4.85 mmb/d, with a target of reaching 5 mmb/d by 2027.Meanwhile, Sparta Commodities analysts said the producer cartel is facing renewed questions over its long-term cohesion after the UAE's departure, though the immediate impact on global oil balances remains muted."For the short-term, it means very little in terms of oil balances with the Strait of Hormuz closed," the analysts said, adding that the implications are more in the longer-term if and when the OPEC+ group gets back to its prior role in the market.Over the longer term, the UAE is expected to increase production to about 4.5-4.8 million b/d, up from its OPEC+ quota of about 3.4 million b/d. Sparta said the shift could introduce additional barrels into the market, potentially putting downward pressure on prices.With the exit, Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures, said the UAE is positioning itself to ramp up oil production as it seeks greater autonomy outside the constraints of OPEC+.Flynn said that the UAE has long been constrained by an outdated production baseline set at about 3.2 million b/d in about 2018. However, the Gulf state has since made significant investments in upstream capacity, lifting its production potential to exceed 5 million b/d in the coming years.Vikas Dwivedi, global energy strategist at Macquarie, said the UAE's exit reflects a broader shift in producer strategy."At some point in every country's lifecycle, it's time to move on," Dwivedi said in an emailed response to.He added that there has not been a "big response" in markets so far. "Eventually the market will be forced to deal with oil production growth from an unsanctioned Iran, a rejuvenated Venezuela and an unshackled UAE," the strategist said.Dwivedi added he does not expect the announcement to drive any meaningful near-term moves in the crude forward curve or spot prices. "It could make oil balances more bearish over the next year or two, but not right away," he said.