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日本3月通膨率小幅上升,但仍處於溫和水準。

-- 日本統計局週五公佈的數據顯示,受食品和能源價格上漲的推動,日本3月消費者物價指數(CPI)小幅上漲,但漲幅仍相對溫和。 剔除生鮮食品價格後的核心CPI在3月份年增1.8%,高於2月份的1.6%,但仍低於日本央行2%的年度通膨目標。 同樣剔除能源價格後的核心CPI在3月上漲2.4%,較3月的2.5%略有回落。 統計局補充道,3月日本整體CPI年增1.5%,較2月近四年來的低點1.3%有所加快。 日本房屋租金漲幅依然溫和,3月年增0.7%,而電費較去年同期下降8%,後者主要得益於政府補貼。 預計到2025年中期,米價將幾乎翻倍。今年3月,米價年增6.8%,季減2.5%。 日本央行將於下週召開政策會議,預計週二公佈其關鍵政策利率的調整方案。自去年12月以來,該利率一直維持在0.75%的水準。 日本央行官員已表示有意升息,但同時也希望維持勞動市場供應充足,以推動實質薪資成長,進而刺激消費和整體經濟成長。 荷蘭投資機構ING Think表示:“如果日本央行優先考慮防止通膨預期加速,我們仍然認為4月份加息是有可能的。我們預計未來幾個月通膨將進一步加速。除了全球能源價格上漲之外,日圓也將給日本國內物價帶來更大壓力。”

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