-- 日本统计局周五公布的数据显示,受食品和能源价格上涨的推动,日本3月份消费者物价指数(CPI)小幅上涨,但涨幅仍相对温和。 剔除生鲜食品价格后的核心CPI在3月份同比上涨1.8%,高于2月份的1.6%,但仍低于日本央行2%的年度通胀目标。 同样剔除能源价格后的核心CPI在3月份上涨2.4%,较3月份的2.5%略有回落。 统计局补充道,3月份日本总体CPI同比上涨1.5%,较2月份近四年来的低点1.3%有所加快。 日本住房租金涨幅依然温和,3月份同比上涨0.7%,而电费同比下降8%,后者主要得益于政府补贴。 预计到2025年中期,大米价格将几乎翻一番。今年3月,大米价格同比上涨6.8%,环比下跌2.5%。 日本央行将于下周召开政策会议,预计将于周二公布其关键政策利率的调整方案。自去年12月以来,该利率一直维持在0.75%的水平。 日本央行官员已表示有意加息,但同时也希望保持劳动力市场供应充足,以推动实际工资增长,从而刺激消费和整体经济增长。 荷兰投资机构ING Think表示:“如果日本央行优先考虑防止通胀预期加速,我们仍然认为4月份加息是有可能的。我们预计未来几个月通胀将进一步加速。除了全球能源价格上涨之外,日元疲软也将给日本国内物价带来更大压力。”
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