-- 新西兰商业银行（BusinessNZ）周一发布的报告显示，受中东冲突影响，新西兰服务业3月份出现萎缩，连续第三个月下滑，其中非必需消费支出受到的冲击尤为严重。 3月份新西兰商业银行服务业绩效指数（PSI）为46.0，较2月份下降1.6点，较52.8的长期平均水平低6.6点。 新西兰商业银行研究主管斯蒂芬·托普利斯表示：“PSI读数如此糟糕，以至于我们的PMI/PSI综合指标表明，经济可能很快会陷入萎缩。虽然我们并未预测会出现衰退，但这些数据支持了我们近期大幅下调2026年增长预期的决定。” 所有五个分项指数的读数均低于50.0。新西兰商业银行指出，新订单指数从48.8降至45.7，经济活动指数从47.5降至44.6，“尤其令人担忧”。 由于通胀导致实际可支配收入下降，零售贸易、住宿、咖啡馆和餐馆等行业将受到冲击，因此，低于50%的就业指数可能还会进一步走低。 “疲软的就业指数报告也印证了我们此前的观点，即未来一年劳动力市场不太可能出现任何实质性改善，”托普利斯表示。“展望未来，很难想象服务业的许多行业会迅速好转。”
Related Articles
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.
$OTIS
Asia Markets
Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled
The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.
$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.
$URI