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摩根士丹利稱,ADT第一季獲利超預期,主要得益於利潤率強勁,儘管用戶成長乏力。

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-- 摩根士丹利週四發布的一份報告顯示,ADT(ADT)第一季獲利超出預期,主要得益於高於預期的利潤率和自由現金流,但營收和用戶成長依然疲軟。 摩根士丹利指出,調整後的自由現金流年增超過80%,達到4.01億美元,超出預期50%;調整後的EBITDA也超出預期,利潤率提升了60個基點。報告稱,部分成長“部分受時機影響”,預計這種情況將在今年稍後逆轉。 報告也指出,營收成長0.9%,與預期相符,但新增用戶數量疲軟和用戶流失率居高不下繼續對業績構成壓力。 ADT提供家庭安防監控和智慧家庭服務。 摩根士丹利表示,加速用戶成長仍是該公司重新估值的關鍵。報告指出,ADT Blu DIY 服務將於 5 月在 ADT 官網推出,夏季登陸各大電商平台,預計將透過吸引更多注重成本的客戶,為公司帶來利多。但報告也指出,DIY 通路的長期經濟效益仍「存在不確定性」。 摩根士丹利將 ADT 2026 年調整後每股收益預期上調 2%,並預計第二季度盈利和自由現金流將環比下降,原因是 DIY 服務推廣帶來的營銷成本增加。不過,報告稱,儘管面臨行業逆風,ADT 穩定的經常性收入和不斷改善的現金流狀況仍為其估值提供了「支撐」。 摩根士丹利將 ADT 股票的目標價從 7 美元上調至 7.50 美元,並維持「持有」評級。

Price: $7.56, Change: $+0.02, Percent Change: +0.33%

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