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摩根士丹利称,德州仪器第一季度业绩强劲,但长期风险依然存在。

-- 德州仪器 (TXN) 公布了“非常强劲”的第一季度业绩,但摩根士丹利周四在一份报告中指出,持续的高额资本支出和估值担忧令其长期前景保持谨慎。 管理层强调了公司业务的全面强劲,并指出目前没有明显的提前结束的迹象。不过,摩根士丹利表示,3月和6月季度的业绩显著高于季节性水平,这使得未来前景需谨慎,也为通常一年中业绩最好的9月季度设定了较高的预期。 摩根士丹利补充道,鉴于预计2026年下半年业绩将强于上半年,定价因素可能变得更加重要,且供应紧张可能为公司带来股价上涨的机会,因此摩根士丹利对德州仪器2026年剩余时间和2027年业绩的预测将考虑季节性因素。 摩根士丹利表示,乐观观点认为,经过五年的高额资本支出,该公司将在2027年产生超过盈利的自由现金流,但财报电话会议上的评论表明,除非收入放缓,否则高额支出可能会持续到2027年。 “此外,鉴于现金回报对公司发展的重要性,我们预计收购[Silicon Laboratories (SLAB)]将导致德州仪器(Texas Instruments)的估值出现一定程度的负面调整。” 摩根士丹利将德州仪器的目标股价从180美元上调至221美元,同时维持其“减持”评级。

Price: $275.64, Change: $+39.33, Percent Change: +16.64%

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