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惠譽表示,亞太地區農業化學品發行商已做好應對中東戰爭風險的緩衝準備。

-- 惠譽評級在近期發布的報告中指出,亞太地區農化產品發行商有能力緩衝中東衝突導致的運費、燃料和投入成本上漲,以避免短期評級承壓。 惠譽表示,Nufarm(ASX:NUF)、UPL(NSE:UPL,BOM:512070)和先正達集團受該地區直接風險的影響較小,其差異化的採購管道和充足的庫存能夠有效緩衝第一輪獲利衝擊。 惠譽預計,供應鏈中斷短期內不會對這些發行商的信用狀況造成顯著影響,尤其是在營運彈性和地理多元化的背景下。 發行商的業務組合也將為其信用實力提供支撐,儘管不同產品受到的影響程度不一。種子業務由於其在作物規劃中的關鍵作用而最為穩健,而化肥業務由於在農民成本中所佔比例不斷增加而面臨更大的風險。 惠譽指出,作物保護產品受到的影響介於兩者之間,因為其需求彈性高於食品需求。 評級機構仍認為,由於成本轉嫁過程緩慢且初期不完全,短期內獲利能力將受到抑制。

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