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惠譽將菲律賓的評等展望調整為負面,理由是中期成長前景不明朗。

-- 根據惠譽評等近期發布的消息,該國長期外幣發行人違約評等展望由穩定調整為負面,但維持其BBB評等不變。 惠譽表示,此次展望調整源自於該國穩健的中期成長軌跡面臨風險加劇,包括公共投資中斷以及受全球能源衝擊的影響更大。 惠譽指出,鑑於疫情後政府債務水準進一步上升以及外部融資狀況逐步惡化,該國的成長表現可能弱於同類國家。 惠譽預計,鑑於公共資本支出逐步恢復以及能源成本上漲影響家庭消費,該國今年的GDP成長將維持在4.6%的水平,低於近期水平。 惠譽表示,由於依賴能源進口以及來自該地區的匯款可能減少,該國受中東衝突的影響較大。 此評等確認考慮了惠譽對中期GDP強勁成長的預期,儘管風險不斷增加,但政府債務將逐步下降。 對中期經濟成長強勁、經濟政策穩健、政府債務佔GDP比率、治理標準或外部狀況的信心水準若有重大變化,可能導致未來的評等調整。

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