-- 惠誉评级将菲律宾长期外币评级展望从稳定调整为负面,同时维持其“BBB”评级不变。 此举反映出公共投资疲软和全球能源价格高企对经济增长构成日益增长的风险,这可能会削弱菲律宾相对于其他发达国家的优势。 惠誉预计,菲律宾国内生产总值(GDP)增长将保持相对稳健但增速放缓,2026年预计为4.6%,原因是能源成本上涨抑制了消费,而基础设施支出将逐步恢复。预计2026年通胀率将升至4.1%,而能源进口成本上升将导致经常账户赤字扩大。 惠誉表示,尽管面临这些压力,但菲律宾稳健的中期增长前景和正在进行的经济改革支撑了其评级。
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