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惠誉表示,亚太地区农用化学品发行商已做好应对中东战争风险的缓冲准备。

-- 惠誉评级在近期发布的一份报告中指出,亚太地区农化产品发行商有能力缓冲中东冲突导致的运费、燃料和投入成本上涨,从而避免短期评级承压。 惠誉表示,Nufarm(ASX:NUF)、UPL(NSE:UPL,BOM:512070)和先正达集团受该地区直接风险的影响较小,其差异化的采购渠道和充足的库存能够有效缓冲第一轮盈利冲击。 惠誉预计,供应链中断短期内不会对这些发行商的信用状况造成显著影响,尤其是在运营灵活性和地域多元化的背景下。 发行商的业务组合也将为其信用实力提供支撑,尽管不同产品受到的影响程度不一。种子业务由于其在作物规划中的关键作用而最为稳健,而化肥业务由于在农民成本中所占比例不断增加而面临更大的风险。 惠誉指出,作物保护产品受到的影响介于两者之间,因为其需求弹性高于食品需求。 评级机构仍然认为,由于成本转嫁过程缓慢且初期不完全,短期内盈利能力将受到抑制。

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