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德斯贾丁斯表示,根据GDP数据,加拿大经济依然“岌岌可危”,而工资数据则“描绘出一幅更加脆弱的景象”。

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-- 德斯贾丁斯集团的罗伊斯·门德斯表示,今日公布的GDP数据显示,加拿大经济在2026年第一季度仍将处于“不稳定”状态,而今日公布的就业数据则“描绘出一幅更加脆弱的经济图景”。 尽管加拿大2月份国内生产总值环比增长0.2%,与市场预期一致,但3月份增速放缓,而加拿大统计局的初步估计显示,第一季度最后一个月的GDP将与上月持平。门德斯指出,德斯贾丁斯集团按支出和行业划分的季度GDP预测值均显示,年化增长率约为1.5%,这与加拿大央行的最新预测相符。 他表示,鉴于经济交接疲软,德斯贾丁斯集团同意央行对第二季度经济增长率约为1.5%的预测。 周四公布的就业、工资和工时调查(SEPH)数据显示,2月份加拿大经济减少了6万个工作岗位,超过了1月份4.4万个新增岗位的增幅。 各行各业的就业疲软程度都较为普遍,贸易相关行业和非贸易相关行业均出现下滑。门德斯指出,过去几个月,安大略省和魁北克省的就业岗位降幅最大。 门德斯表示:“今天公布的GDP和工资数据表明,加拿大经济不太可能出现过高的通胀压力。”他补充道:“如果未来几个月油价下跌,加拿大央行可以按兵不动,相信油价上涨的暂时性影响不会引发持续的高通胀。”

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