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德斯賈丁斯表示,加拿大各省2026年預算表明,輕鬆獲利的時代已經結束。

-- 德斯賈丁銀行表示,儘管宏觀經濟環境優於預期,但加拿大各省的財政狀況仍出現不同程度的惡化。 該銀行指出,已公佈預算的九個省份預計,2026-2027財年(2027財年)的財政赤字總額將達到470億加元,高於2026財年的400億加元。 德斯賈丁銀行表示,歷史數據向上修正以及經濟成長超出預期,促使各省提高了2025年的名義國內生產總值預期,從而改善了各省的財政狀況,並改善了整體債務指標,儘管赤字和債務水平有所上升。 該銀行指出,由於持續存在的貿易風險,預測仍指向2026年經濟放緩,收入成長空間有限,如果《加美墨協定》(CUSMA)貿易協定審查結果惡化,則面臨重大下行風險。 德斯賈丁銀行補充道,鑑於地緣政治因素推動的油價飆升,能源生產省份的財政狀況可能強於目前的預期。 更高的計劃支出是財政壓力的主要來源,預計支出壓力將持續存在。各省在2027財年共增加了200億美元的計畫支出,主要集中在醫療保健領域。 該銀行表示,過去的經濟成長勢頭提供了一些短期支撐,隨著時間的推移,在油價飆升的推動下,財政狀況應該會好轉。 除此之外,各省還面臨更嚴峻的形勢,疲軟的生產力成長加上貿易不確定性導致的投資受限,使得各省在支出壓力依然高企的情況下,財政空間有限。

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