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德意志银行称，高油价导致航空公司运力部署放缓，或将冲击飞机租赁公司。

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-- 德意志银行周一表示，受中东冲突引发的航空燃油价格上涨影响，预计全球航空公司运力部署将放缓，飞机租赁公司或将受到影响。 美以与伊朗的战争导致霍尔木兹海峡（全球最重要的原油运输咽喉要道）的运输中断，能源价格飙升。 德意志银行指出，这场冲突在美伊停火以及后来的以色列与黎巴嫩停火后暂时停止，但已将航空燃油价格推高至每加仑4美元以上。 德意志银行分析师香农·多尔蒂周一在给客户的报告中表示：“虽然飞机租赁公司不像运营成本较高的航空公司那样直接受到高油价的影响，但它们会受到飞机供需变化的间接影响。我们不能忽视航空燃油价格飙升将导致全球航空公司运力部署放缓这一事实，财务状况最脆弱的运营商甚至可能面临停飞的风险。” 上周，美国航空 (AAL) 和联合航空 (UAL) 下调了全年盈利预期。联合航空当时表示，其第一季度面临诸多不利因素，包括燃油支出较上年同期增加 3.4 亿美元。 德意志银行周一表示，卡塔尔航空近期已联系飞机租赁公司，商讨延期或降低租金支付的可能性。该行报告指出，如果其他航空公司也提出类似要求，且飞机租赁公司选择提供此类优惠，那么从长远来看，新的条款对租赁公司而言可能具有净现值优势。 多尔蒂表示，鉴于 AerCap Holdings (AER) 拥有多元化的资产机队，且股本回报率达到两位数中段，其估值溢价是“合理的”。该券商还指出，飞机资产供应不足是“结构性”问题，预计将持续到本十年末。 “鉴于飞机需求旺盛、订单量大、盈利稳定，以及租赁合同期限长，未来现金流前景广阔，AerCap 是参与这一主题的最佳方式之一，”多尔蒂说。

Price: $137.95, Change: $-0.14, Percent Change: -0.10%

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