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德國DAX指數走低;德國電信股價因合併傳聞而下跌

-- 週三,德國股市下跌,投資人在評估聯邦政府春季經濟預測的同時,也關注了一系列企業績效更新。 收盤時,藍籌股DAX指數下跌0.31%。 德國聯邦經濟和能源部長卡特琳娜·賴歇表示,由於美伊衝突導致能源和原物料價格飆升,政府目前預計德國2026年國內生產毛額(GDP)成長率為0.5%,低於先前預測的1%。預計2027年實際GDP成長率將略微加快至0.9%,低於先前預測的1.3%。預計未來兩年的通膨率分別為2.7%和2.8%。 談到中東戰爭,美國總統川普宣布與伊朗無限期停火,但這項緩和局勢的措施仍然脆弱,因為此舉被視為單方面聲明,且未得到德黑蘭或特拉維夫的確認。川普也證實,美國海軍將繼續封鎖伊朗港口和海岸線。 「三週前,我們看到美伊戰爭的格局發生了顯著變化,從『動能』階段(轟炸等)轉向『經濟』階段(主要是美國封鎖霍爾木茲海峽)。儘管這一轉變尚未恢復海峽的安全通行,但貿易商們感到欣慰,或許是因為這場經濟戰證明了美國的實力(海軍有能力執行封鎖並‘餓死’伊朗)。 「但控制霍爾木茲海峽也與美國近期試圖控制其他關鍵『海峽』(例如直布羅陀海峽、馬六甲海峽、格陵蘭-冰島-英國海峽(GIUK)和巴拿馬海峽)的舉動不謀而合。如果真是如此,美國的長期『目標』或許是透過控制中國經濟經濟以運轉的所有節點來阻止了總油權。 企業方面,德國半導體公司英飛凌科技(IFX.F)股價飆升至藍籌股DAX指數的前列,漲幅達3.23%。此前,荷蘭電腦晶片製造商ASM International和電氣化與自動化公司ABB公佈了強勁的第一季業績,帶動了整個產業的上漲,而人工智慧投資熱潮也持續升溫。 根據彭博社報道,德國電信(DTE.F)正在考慮與其美國子公司T-Mobile US合併,以精簡集團的公司和營運結構。據悉,該交易將涉及成立一家新的控股公司,用於吸收這家德國電信公司及其持股53%的美國子公司的全部股份。德國電信股價表現最差,下跌4.55%。

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

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Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

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$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012