-- 週四,德國藍籌股DAX指數收盤上漲0.36%,受伊朗戰爭可能結束的樂觀情緒提振。 路透社引述一位匿名消息人士的話報道稱,一位巴基斯坦關鍵調解人就美伊之間的「棘手問題」取得了突破性進展,但同時指出,伊朗官員警告稱,該國核計畫的未來仍未得到解決。巴基斯坦陸軍參謀長阿西姆·穆尼爾元帥目前正在德黑蘭尋求延長伊朗停火協議,此前在伊斯蘭堡舉行的周末會談未能達成協議。路透社還補充說,儘管雙方仍願意繼續談判,但尚未確定具體時間表。 經濟方面,歐元區3月通膨加速。根據歐盟統計局的最終數據,歐元區3月年通膨率從2月的1.9%上升到2.6%,高於先前公佈的2.5%的初步估計值。同時,剔除能源、食品、酒精和菸草的核心通膨率為2.3%,與初步數據一致,低於前一月的2.4%。 當月,服務業被認為是通膨的主要貢獻者,其次是能源、食品、酒精和菸草,然後是非能源工業品。 在此背景下,美國銀行全球研究部指出,歐元區的通膨和經濟成長對油價波動的敏感度高於美國。 「我們運用向量自回歸(VAR)模型表明,歐元區經濟對油價的敏感度遠高於美國,無論是通膨還是經濟成長。我們發現,10%的油價衝擊將導致約40個基點的通膨上升,相應的經濟成長下降超過10個基點。這兩種影響都約為美國的兩倍。 在公司新聞方面,拜耳 (BAYN.F) 股價下跌 0.12%,此前德意志銀行研究部將這家德國生命科學公司 5 月 12 日公佈的第一季業績前的目標股價從 23 歐元上調至 43 歐元,此前該公司維持「持有」評級。 德意志銀行表示:「我們預測第一季有機銷售額將年增 3.6%,主要得益於作物科學業務的成長,其中 4.5億歐元的許可收入將起到推動作用,抵消製藥業務的平淡表現和消費者健康業務的溫和增長。 同時,德國聯邦反壟斷局批准了國防公司萊茵金屬(RHM.F)的子公司萊茵金屬數位公司和航太技術集團OHB(OHB.F)成立一家合資企業,旨在爭取德國武裝部隊未來的採購合約。萊茵金屬股價下跌1.20%,而OHB股價上漲3.97%。
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