-- 週二,德國股市下跌,藍籌股DAX指數收跌0.60%,市場正在消化歐元區最大經濟體德國的最新經濟景氣調查結果以及有關美伊潛在停火談判的最新消息。 德國ZEW經濟景氣指數4月從3月的-0.5點暴跌至-17.2點,低於市場普遍預期的-6.7點。現況指數也下跌10.8點至-73.7點,略低於預期的-70點。 「經濟預期正在滑入負面區間。伊朗戰爭對德國經濟的影響遠不止物價上漲:企業擔心能源供應長期短缺,這將抑制投資並削弱政府刺激措施的效果。」ZEW主席阿希姆·瓦姆巴赫表示。 路透社引述巴基斯坦消息人士的話報道稱,關於中東衝突,美伊雙方週三重啟會談的勢頭正在增強,美國副總統萬斯預計將抵達伊斯蘭堡。該新聞機構指出,德黑蘭方面表示正在「積極考慮」參與會談,但同時繼續要求承認其鈾濃縮權利,並結束對其港口的海上封鎖,以及其他一些條件。 在公司新聞方面,拜爾斯道夫(BEI.F)是藍籌股指數中跌幅最大的股票之一,下跌2.97%,原因是其核心品牌和奢侈品組合均面臨不利因素,導致第一季銷售額低於預期。這家德國個人護理產品製造商截至3月31日的三個月內,銷售額以有機成長計算下降4.6%至24.8億歐元,而FactSet匯總的預期為25.6億歐元。 與此同時,貝倫貝格銀行預測巴斯夫(BAS.F)2026年將“出人意料地好,儘管波動性可能較大”,但同時也提醒,這種“遲來的好運”已被股價充分反映。因此,該研究機構維持對巴斯夫的「持有」評級,並將目標價從48歐元上調至51歐元。 「這是多年來我們首次大幅上調巴斯夫的盈利預期。在過去十年努力適應化工行業供應過剩的困境之後,過去六個月來最重要的消息都是利好消息。在德國國內刺激政策的背景下,巴斯夫股價對以下兩點反應良好:一是碳稅和部分反傾銷調查方面可能出現的政治利好;二是受伊朗衝突導致亞洲同業原料短缺的影響,化工產品價格上漲。這家德國化工企業在當日收盤時上漲了1.12%。
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