FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

德国2月份制造业产量下降,主要原因是药品和电子产品产量减少

-- 德国联邦统计局周四公布的初步数据显示,2月份德国制造业产出意外环比下降,甚至在中东战争爆发之前就已出现下滑,其中制药和电子行业的产出疲软是主要原因。 经季节性和日历因素调整后,2月份实际制造业产出环比下降0.3%,而1月份的数据向上修正后为停滞不前。此前市场普遍预期2月份制造业产出将增长0.9%。 按月计算,制药和计算机、电子及光学产品的产量分别下降了4.4%和3.9%。受冬季寒冷天气的影响,建筑业产出下滑了1.2%,而汽车产量则增长了1.7%。荷兰国际集团(ING)全球宏观经济主管卡斯滕·布热斯基表示,德国联邦统计局的数据描绘了一幅“消费者非常犹豫、迟疑”的景象,而制造业则难以获得积极的增长势头。 经日历调整后,德国制造业产出与去年同期持平,与1月份修正后的0.9%的降幅形成鲜明对比。剔除能源和建筑业后,2月份工业产出环比下降0.1%,同比下降0.6%。 在占工业总产值17%的能源密集型行业中,2月份产出环比增长1.9%,同比增长0.1%。消费品产出环比下降1.5%,而中间产品和资本品产出分别增长0.4%和0.1%。作为欧洲最大的能源净进口国之一,德国2月份能源产量环比增长0.3%。 “总而言之,2月份的宏观数据显示,即使没有中东战争,德国经济也不幸地再次陷入萎缩。更糟糕的是,无论昨天宣布的停火协议最终能否持续,中东战争都将在未来几个月对德国经济造成明显的影响。尽管我们原本希望能够就德国经济的一些利好消息发表评论,但如今的情况就像在等一列德国火车:肯定会晚点,而且能否到达也难以预料。”布热斯基总结道。

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS
Asia Markets

Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

$URI