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德国商业银行在隔夜新闻中

-- 德国商业银行周三发布的《欧洲日出》报告重点指出: 市场:美国国债在纽约交易时段上涨,亚洲交易时段横盘整理。受亚洲股市走强提振,迷你期货走强。欧元兑美元走弱至1.179美元。布伦特原油价格徘徊在每桶95美元左右。 美联储:芝加哥联邦储备银行行长奥斯坦·古尔斯比表示,迄今为止,消费者需求“持续稳步增长”。参议院银行委员会已安排于4月21日举行凯文·沃什的美联储主席提名确认听证会。 美国:财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示,关税可能在7月恢复到之前的水平,如有必要,将推动对伊朗实施二级制裁。美国希望“降低风险而非与中国脱钩”,中国的全球贸易顺差“过大”,但经济依然强劲。白宫经济顾问凯文·哈塞特表示,今年经济将保持强劲,“肯定能够实现4%的增长”。 伊朗/地缘政治:美国军方证实已全面封锁伊朗港口。唐纳德·特朗普总统告诉福克斯新闻,他认为战争“即将结束”。巴基斯坦敦促本周举行伊美会谈(《纽约时报》)。五角大楼可能削减伊朗战争的资金申请。 霍尔木兹海峡:过去24小时内,超过20艘商船通过霍尔木兹海峡。美国海军并未护航,而是在安全的情况下与船只沟通。 ==欧洲: 欧洲央行:行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德认为,现在就断言欧洲央行可以忽略伊朗冲击是一个“严重的错误”,因为现在判断还为时过早。欧洲央行处于有利地位,能够做出有效应对,不会让通胀预期脱离锚定。管理委员会成员加布里埃尔·马克卢夫表示,如果冲击持续,欧洲央行将采取“强有力的行动”。欧盟委员会成员普里莫兹·多伦茨表示,如果通胀影响持续,欧洲央行将提高利率。 欧洲各国正在起草一项战后计划,旨在不借助美国力量清理霍尔木兹海峡,该计划可能包括派遣扫雷船。该计划不包括美国,但德国将参与其中。欧洲各国正在加快制定北约撤军后的备选方案(《华尔街日报》)。 法国:财政部仍将2029年财政赤字目标设定在3%。

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