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彭博社分析稱,烏克蘭對俄羅斯石油資產的攻擊達到四個月來的最高水平

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-- 彭博社週四發布的分析報告顯示,烏克蘭無人機對俄羅斯石油基礎設施的襲擊次數攀升至去年12月以來的最高月度水平,迫使俄羅斯煉油廠將加工量降至多年來的最低點。 根據兩國公開聲明總結的數據顯示,烏克蘭在4月對俄羅斯煉油廠、海上設施(包括出口碼頭)和管道基礎設施發動了約21次攻擊。 本月,這場愈演愈烈的襲擊至少波及了9家煉油廠,創下今年以來的最高月度紀錄。 分析顯示,攻擊嚴重影響了俄羅斯的加工能力,煉油廠日加工量估計已降至469萬桶,為2009年以來的最低水準。 原油加工量的下降給國內市場(季節性需求正在上升)和全球成品油市場都帶來了壓力,因為俄羅斯是柴油的主要出口國。 煉油廠開工率的下降也限制了俄羅斯提高石油產量的能力,其產量已連續數月低於歐佩克+配額。 4月份,烏克蘭無人機三度襲擊了位於黑海沿岸的俄羅斯石油公司圖阿普謝煉油廠,最近一次是在4月28日。襲擊引發了煉油廠的大火,大火持續數日才被撲滅,並引發了該地區的環境危機。 然而,由於煉油廠開工率降低,加上對港口的攻擊減少,俄羅斯得以在4月增加海上原油和燃料出口。但如果烏克蘭在未來幾週內恢復對港口基礎設施的攻擊,這種成長可能只是暫時的。 烏克蘭也加強了對俄羅斯石油管道網路的攻擊力度,4月至少襲擊了五個泵站。與2024年底和2025年主要針對俄羅斯西部附近出口相關設施的攻擊不同,最近的攻擊已深入俄羅斯內部的管道系統。

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