-- 根據彭博社週五發布的一份分析報告顯示,沙烏地阿拉伯4月透過紅海碼頭輸送的原油量約為每日400萬桶,儘管繞過了霍爾木茲海峽的中斷,但仍未達到預期目標。 分析報告指出,4月前三週,延布港的原油每日平均輸送量約為400萬桶,較衝突前水準增加了五倍,但僅達到預期量的約80%。 分析報告也補充道,在2月底美國和以色列發動空襲後,伊朗實際上封鎖了霍爾木茲海峽,投資人正密切關注美國西海岸的原油出口路線。 分析報告指出,延布港目前已成為原油運輸的主要替代通道,為應對影響海灣關鍵航道的中斷提供了最大的替代方案。 實際出口量可能高於報告數據,因為部分船舶的追蹤系統可能已失效,而當船舶裝載量高於正常水平時,標準估算值可能低估了更高的出口量。 分析指出,連接海灣油田和紅海的東-西輸油管全長746英里(約1,200公里),輸油量可達700萬桶/日,但其中約200萬桶仍分配給國內需求。 分析引述知情人士的話稱,3月下旬,輸油管的輸送能力一度達到滿載,將出口量推至約500萬桶/日,但這一高水準僅持續了很短時間。 分析顯示,11個泵站中的一個遭到無人機襲擊,導致輸送能力暫時下降約70萬桶/日,但營運商迅速恢復了營運。 沙烏地阿拉伯先前將貨物經由埃及轉運至歐洲和北美,但現在大部分貨物直接運往亞洲市場。 分析指出,霍爾木茲海峽中斷後,油輪迅速聚集在延布附近,至少有40艘油輪在近海等待重新分配的物資。 分析報告補充說,截至週二,仍有20多艘超大型原油運輸船停泊在該地區,其中許多與沙烏地阿拉伯的國家航運船隊有關。 分析報告指出,儘管物流運輸方式有所調整,但現有油輪運力仍充足,足以支持紅海持續成長的原油出口量。
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