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彭博社分析称,由于油价突破每桶100美元,霍尔木兹号轮船运输几乎停滞。

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-- 据彭博社周一的分析显示,由于伊朗和美国的双重封锁,霍尔木兹海峡的大部分航运活动已经停滞,只有少数与伊朗有关的船只仍在航行,而此时油价已超过每桶100美元。 分析指出,伊朗和美国的封锁已经关闭了霍尔木兹海峡,使这条重要的全球能源通道基本处于停滞状态。 分析显示,由于上周局势升级后,大多数运营商都避开了这条航线,因此只有少数船只(主要与伊朗有关)仍在通过。 分析称,上周伊朗炮艇向船只开火,而美军扣押了两艘油轮,这大大增加了风险,并减少了通过该海峡的交通量。 彭博社汇编的船舶追踪数据显示,周一上午,三艘与伊朗有关的船只经霍尔木兹海峡驶出波斯湾,同期没有船只进入。 分析报告指出,周一,两艘与德黑兰有关联的散货船和一艘液化石油气运输船驶离波斯湾,延长了航运活动受限的时期。 报告还指出,周日仅有少数船只离港,其中包括一艘与伊朗有关联的油轮、一艘散货船和两艘区域货船,而一艘与中国有关联的油轮则驶入波斯湾。 报告称,几艘与伊朗有关联的船只在驶离波斯湾后仍停留在阿曼湾附近,目前尚不清楚它们是停留进行区域性停靠,还是因美国海军封锁而延误。 继续航行的船只使用了一条位于拉拉克岛和格什姆岛附近的狭窄北部通道,这条路线已获得伊朗当局批准,允许有限通行。 分析报告指出,美国的封锁导致船只关闭跟踪信号,降低了能见度,使得实际交通流量的测量更加困难。 报告还指出,由于跟踪数据有限,当船只在危险区域外重新出现时,可能会出现更高的船舶数量报告,这表明实时监控存在漏洞。 分析称,即使在最近的限制措施之前,与伊朗有关的船只也经常在霍尔木兹附近停止跟踪,并在距离哈尔格岛约 13 天的马六甲海峡附近重新激活信号。

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