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彭博社分析称,乌克兰对俄罗斯石油资产的袭击达到四个月来的最高水平

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-- 彭博社周四发布的一份分析报告显示,乌克兰无人机对俄罗斯石油基础设施的袭击次数攀升至去年12月以来的最高月度水平,迫使俄罗斯炼油厂将加工量降至多年来的最低点。 根据两国公开声明汇总的数据显示,4月份乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂、海上设施(包括出口码头)和管道基础设施发动了约21次袭击。 本月,这场愈演愈烈的袭击至少波及了9家炼油厂,创下今年以来的最高月度纪录。 分析显示,袭击严重影响了俄罗斯的加工能力,炼油厂日加工量估计已降至469万桶,为2009年以来的最低水平。 原油加工量的下降给国内市场(季节性需求正在上升)和全球成品油市场都带来了压力,因为俄罗斯是柴油的主要出口国。 炼油厂开工率的下降也限制了俄罗斯提高石油产量的能力,其产量已连续数月低于欧佩克+配额。 4月份,乌克兰无人机三次袭击了位于黑海沿岸的俄罗斯石油公司图阿普谢炼油厂,最近一次是在4月28日。袭击引发了炼油厂的大火,大火持续数日才被扑灭,并引发了该地区的环境危机。 然而,由于炼油厂开工率降低,加上对港口的袭击有所减少,俄罗斯得以在4月份增加海上原油和燃料出口。但如果乌克兰在未来几周内恢复对港口基础设施的袭击,这种增长可能只是暂时的。 乌克兰还加大了对俄罗斯石油管道网络的袭击力度,4月份至少袭击了五个泵站。与2024年底和2025年主要针对俄罗斯西部附近出口相关设施的袭击不同,最近的袭击已经深入到俄罗斯内部的管道系统。

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