-- 根據路透社報道，秘魯國家石油公司（Petroperu）董事長羅傑·阿雷瓦洛（Roger Arevalo）週二在國會委員會作證時表示，該公司需要約25億美元的貸款才能維持煉油廠的正常運轉，避免燃料供應中斷。 阿雷瓦洛警告稱，如果該公司無法獲得政府擔保的私人融資以繼續為其煉油廠採購原油，那麼「未來幾天」可能會出現燃料短缺。目前，該公司的債務負擔已飆升至79億美元。 阿雷瓦洛表示，私人銀行已準備好提供20億美元的貸款，但仍低於25億美元的需求。不過，政府正計劃頒布一項緊急法令，為該公司提供國家擔保，以幫助其進行私人融資，但不會直接提供資金。 由於缺乏資金購買原料，該公司的兩家主要煉油廠——塔拉拉煉油廠（Talara）和孔昌煉油廠（Conchan）——目前均未達到其產能。 光是過去三年，該公司就獲得了53億美元的國家資助，但塔拉拉現代化計畫的延誤和成本超支（最終超過60億美元）惡化了秘魯石油公司的資產負債表基本面。 秘魯石油公司尚未回覆就此事的置評請求。 （市場閒談新聞來自與全球市場專業人士的對話。這些資訊據信來自可靠來源，但可能包含傳聞和推測。準確性無法保證。）
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Bank of Canada Is in No Hurry to React to Higher Oil Prices, Says Desjardins
The Bank of Canada's Governing Council left rates unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday and signaled that elevated oil prices won't do much to boost gross domestic product or underlying inflationary pressures, said Desjardins.For its projections, the BoC assumed that Brent oil prices will fall to around US$75/barrel by mid-2027, roughly in line with the bank's forecasts.That said, policymakers expect investment and employment to be less responsive to higher crude prices than in the past, leaving real gross domestic product up just 1.2% in 2026, while previously it saw at 1.1%. So while the composition of growth will look different -- many households and businesses will be squeezed by higher energy costs even as some firms and governments benefit -- the economy is still expected to absorb slack only slowly this year, stated Desjardins.The good news is that officials share the bank's view that spillovers to core inflation will be limited. The BoC expects core inflation to end 2026 at 2.0%, which is actually a touch lower than the 2.1% penciled in back in January's Monetary Policy Report (MPR).The commentary accompanying the rate decision also highlighted the favorable starting point for underlying inflation, with the BoC's preferred core measures just slightly above 2% in March and the proportion of components rising above 3% also having declined in recent months. So while officials acknowledged the cost pressures associated with high oil prices, they implied that their operational target, underlying inflation, wouldn't be impacted, added the bank.Wednesday's MPR also included projections for an alternative scenario in which oil prices remain around US$100 per barrel. Even in that scenario, the economy is expected to struggle over the next few years, as many households and businesses would face higher costs and the benefits of elevated crude prices would translate into increased activity in oil-producing regions with a lag.That said, the forecasts include a further rise in headline inflation, which is substantially more persistent and broad-based than in the base case projections. Governor Tiff Macklem appears to suggest that such a situation could warrant consecutive increases in the policy rate, according to Desjardins.Overall, the BoC appears comfortable leaving rates unchanged for the rest of the year, unless oil prices remain high, added the bank. Assuming oil prices decline to levels consistent with their assumptions, the central bank's communications suggest that any changes in the target rate will be small.Desjardins takes that to mean that once the economy recovers to full health, central bankers will raise the policy rate gradually to 2.75%, the mid-point of their estimated neutral rate range. The bank's expectation is that those rate increases aren't in the cards until 2027.
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Research Alert: Avt Beats Q3; Expansion Challenges Structural Concerns
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:AVT delivered a strong Q3 beat with revenue of $7.12B (+34% Y/Y, +13% Q/Q) vs. $6.4B consensus and adjusted EPS of $1.48 (+76% Y/Y, +41% Q/Q) vs. $1.32 consensus. Operating margins expanded to 2.9% (+58bps Q/Q) with Electronic Components achieving 3.5% margins, demonstrating quality operating leverage as sequential operating income grew more than twice as fast as sales. Broad-based strength across all regions Asia +39%, EMEA +31%, Americas +27% suggests a genuine demand recovery beyond AI infrastructure into traditional electronics markets. Q4 guidance of $7.30B-$7.60B sales (midpoint $7.45B) and adjusted EPS of $1.70-$1.80 significantly exceeded consensus of $6.5B revenue and $1.41 EPS. Inventory optimization reached management's target with total days declining to 77 days, enabling $800M sales growth with only $54M operating cash flow usage. We believe the inventory destocking cycle has conclusively ended and AVT is well-positioned to capitalize on the electronics market recovery with sustained momentum.
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Research Alert: Bip Q1: Data Segment Growth Of 46% Powers 10% Ffo Growth
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Brookfield Infrastructure generated FFO per unit of $0.90, up 10% from $0.82 in the prior year, with total FFO reaching $709M versus $646M, driven by organic growth and $1.4B of new investments. The partnership reported a net loss of $61M compared to net income of $125M in Q1 2025, primarily due to unrealized hedge losses from elevated commodity prices. We view the quarter positively, with FFO growing 10% driven by Data's outsized 46% FFO increase to $149M from the U.S. bulk fiber acquisition and 200 MW of commissioned data center capacity. Management expects hedge losses to settle throughout the year. The partnership secured $400M of new investment opportunities and completed $1B in capital recycling proceeds year-to-date, maintaining $5.3B liquidity with only 5% of debt maturing over 12 months. We expect the 6% distribution increase to $0.455 per unit to be covered by executing partnerships with mega-theme oriented names like Bloom using recycled capital.
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