-- 根據彭博新聞社週三報道,根據其近期的一項調查,預計日本央行將在4月28日結束的為期兩天的會議上維持政策利率在0.75%不變。 調查顯示,在受訪的51位經濟學家中,約80%的人預計政策利率將維持不變,其餘經濟學家則預測將立即升息,比例低於3月初的37%。中東衝突推高了依賴進口的日本的能源成本。 該新聞社也通報稱,調查顯示,57%的受訪經濟學家目前預測下一次升息將在6月進行,而知情人士表示,當局傾向於在4月28日維持基準利率不變。 日本央行總裁上田一夫上週表示,由於央行必須平衡通膨風險,4月的升息決定十分艱難。不過,約四分之三的受訪經濟學家認為,目前上行風險占主導地位。 日圓匯率徘徊在160的干預水準附近,分析師預計,儘管年底利率預期從1%上調至1.25%,但任何維持利率不變的措施都將伴隨鷹派言論。 (市場動態消息來自與全球市場專業人士的對話。這些資訊被認為來自可靠來源,但可能包含傳聞和猜測。準確性無法保證。)
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