-- 尽管瑞银上调了通胀预期并维持经济增长预期不变，但仍表示预计加拿大央行今年将维持利率不变。 瑞银在致客户的报告中写道，加拿大央行的最新信号与其对政策利率的谨慎态度相符。 瑞银指出，3月份政策会议的讨论摘要也体现了谨慎的态度。 瑞银表示，经济增长放缓以及企业和消费者信心已受到一定程度的抑制，这给加拿大央行带来了两难的境地。3月份会议的信号表明，加拿大央行将忽略能源成本上涨对通胀的直接影响，但在考虑适当的政策立场时，会密切关注价格压力扩大的迹象。 会议纪要承认经济起点较低：“伊朗战争无疑增加了新的不确定性，但与会者一致认为，不应忽视经济面临的其他风险：美国贸易政策的变化、即将进行的《加美墨协定》审查以及持续的结构性变革。” 3月份的会议讨论还参考了加拿大央行副行长莎伦·科齐基（Sharon Kozicki）近期关于央行如何看待供给侧冲击的讲话：“成员们探讨了供给冲击冲击经济时货币政策的作用。他们指出，能源价格上涨带来的通胀压力预计将推高通胀率，而经济又处于供给过剩状态。这给货币政策带来了艰难的权衡。”
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