-- 尽管美国总统特朗普再次宣称对伊朗的战争即将结束,但由于霍尔木兹海峡的关闭导致每日五分之一的石油供应无法进入市场,交易员们仍在争相抢购,油价早盘小幅走高。 5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨0.88美元,至每桶92.16美元;6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格上涨0.81美元,至每桶95.58美元。 尽管特朗普在接受美国一家电视台采访时表示,这场战争“即将结束”(据《纽约时报》报道),并且周二还表示他预计与伊朗的谈判将很快继续进行,但油价依然上涨。 然而,霍尔木兹海峡仍然对大多数船只关闭,导致每日20%的石油需求无法进入市场。伊朗继续禁止油轮通过该水道,而美国则封锁了伊朗的港口。 “伊朗对非伊朗石油的封锁使得大部分原油滞留在波斯湾,而美国的封锁又阻止了伊朗原油流出。也就是说,霍尔木兹海峡理论上已被两侧封锁(尽管仍有一些船只通行)。唯一能进入全球市场的中东石油,是沙特阿拉伯通过延布管道输送到红海的石油,”SEB Research的大宗商品分析师奥勒·赫瓦尔比耶写道。 尽管供应受到冲击,美国原油库存仍在持续上升,限制了油价的上涨。美国石油协会周二发布的每周调查显示,上周美国原油库存增加了610万桶,而Investing.com的普遍预期是减少130万桶。美国能源信息署将于周三上午晚些时候发布官方库存数据。
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Forvia Targets Lower Debt with EUR1.8 Billion Sale of Interiors Unit
Forvia (FRVIA.PA) will offload its interiors business group to Apollo-managed funds in a 1.82 billion-euro deal that will allow the French group to pare down debt and zoom in on technology-driven operations.The unit delivered 18% of the automotive technology supplier's consolidated revenue in 2025, through 59 production sites and eight research and development centers across 19 countries, according to a Monday release. Forvia said the new owner intends to support the interiors business' development and transformation.Forvia said the sale is a step towards the implementation of its Ignite strategy, presented at a capital markets day Feb. 24. All net proceeds of the transaction will be used to reduce the company's net debt by at least 1 billion euros, in line with management's plan to restore the group's financial structure."With regards to the Interior disposal, the expected debt reductions announced at the CMD have been confirmed and the cash-in is expected for 2026," Deutsche Bank Research said. "Improved visibility on the transaction is a positive, in our view. Overall, we do not expect consensus expectations to move much on the back of the release."The deal is slated to close by the end of 2026, subject to customary regulatory clearances and consultation of the employee representative bodies. Forvia engaged Evercore as its lead financial adviser alongside Crédit Agricole CIB as financial adviser, while Baker McKenzie served as legal counsel.Shares in Forvia dropped nearly 2% in midmorning trade.
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GfK: German Consumer Confidence Hits Three-year Low as Iran War Fans Inflation Worries
Consumer confidence in Germany hit a three-year low, weighed down by falling income and economic expectations as higher energy prices due to the Iran war continue to fuel inflation worries.The consumer climate indicator for May declined to -33.3 points from a revised -28.1 points in April, market research company Growth from Knowledge said in its latest consumer climate survey published Monday. The reading marks the indicator's lowest level since February 2023.The consensus estimate for May was -30.2 points, based on Investing.com data.In April, the indicator for income expectations plunged 18.1 points to -24.4 points, while economic expectations for the next 12 months fell 6.8 points to -13.7 points as consumers become increasingly concerned that a prolonged war poses a "serious" setback to Germany's economic growth."Income expectations are literally collapsing because of rising inflation. And in this context, people also currently believe that the timing for major purchases is less favorable," said Rolf Bürkl, head of consumer climate at the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions.Consumers' willingness to buy is also becoming more pessimistic, with the indicator hitting a two-year low of -14.4 points, down from the previous month's -10.9 points. Meanwhile, their willingness to save remains at a "high level" of 16.1 points, despite slightly decreasing by 2.4 points."The inflation rate in Germany rose from 1.9 percent to 2.7 percent in March due to rising energy prices caused by the war in Iran, leading the majority of consumers to once again expect price increases," GfK noted. "Although the indicator for price expectations rose somewhat less sharply in April than in March-likely due to falling prices at the filling stations, the indicator's level has risen compared to the beginning of the year."