-- 美国经济咨商局周二公布的一项调查显示,受劳动力市场预期改善的提振,美国消费者信心在4月份意外上升,尽管中东冲突导致汽油价格高企仍引发担忧。 消费者信心指数从3月份向上修正后的92.2升至本月的92.8。彭博社此前的调查显示,市场普遍预期该指数为89。经济咨商局表示,其调查时间为4月1日至4月22日,期间包括了4月8日开始的为期两周的中东冲突临时停火。 经济咨商局首席经济学家达纳·彼得森表示:“尽管中东战争导致布伦特原油价格飙升,引发了人们对汽油价格上涨的担忧,但4月份消费者信心小幅上升,总体变化不大。” 彼得森还表示,本月消费者对当前和预期商业状况的评估有所下降,但现有和预期劳动力市场以及收入预期的“小幅改善”抵消了这一降幅。 自2月底美以与伊朗爆发战争以来,能源价格飙升,关键的霍尔木兹海峡实际上已被封锁。这条狭窄的水道是全球原油运输最重要的咽喉要道。在美伊之间以及随后以色列与黎巴嫩之间达成停火协议后,冲突暂时中止。 据追踪美国燃油价格的旅行组织AAA的数据显示,周二美国零售汽油平均价格为每加仑4.176美元,而一年前为每加仑3.150美元。 世界大型企业联合会表示,4月份“现状”指数环比下降0.3点至123.8,而“预期”指数环比上升1.2点至72.2。 调查显示,本月消费者对未来一年通胀预期的平均值和中位数“略有下降”,但仍处于高位。 周五,密歇根大学的一项调查显示,本月美国消费者信心较4月份的初步估计有所改善,但仍处于历史低位,因为短期通胀预期录得一年来最大的月度增幅。
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