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密歇根州5月消费者信心指数初步调查显示,跌幅超出预期

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-- 密歇根大学5月份的初步消费者信心指数从4月份的49.8降至48.2,低于彭博社汇总的调查中预期的49.5。 5月份的现状指数从4月份的52.5降至47.8,而预期值则从48.1升至48.5。 密歇根大学表示,以汽油价格飙升为首的成本压力仍然是消费者的主要担忧。 密歇根大学指出:“在供应中断问题完全解决且能源价格下降之前,中东局势的发展不太可能显著提振消费者信心。” 受访者对未来一年通胀预期为4.5%,低于4月份的4.7%;对未来五年通胀预期从3.5%降至3.4%。 密歇根大学消费者信心指数每月发布两次,衡量当月初的消费者信心(初步估计值),并在当月晚些时候进行修正(最终估计值)。该指数综合反映了当前的市场评估以及对近期市场的预期。 指数上升表明消费者信心增强,如果这种信心转化为实际消费,则对股市有利。但需求增加通常会引发通胀,对债券市场不利。

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